2013 Indian State Elections


 Forecast of Seats of 5 States Election Results
7th Dec 2013
State Seats BJP Congress AAP Others
Forecast Actual Forecast Actual Forecast Actual Forecast Actual
Chhattisgarh 90 50 48 38 40 NA NA 2 2
Madhya Pradesh 230 140 166 80 67 NA NA 10 7
Rajasthan 200 135 162 60  21 NA NA 5 16
Delhi 70 40  32 15  8 10  28 5 2
Mizoram 40
Total 630 365 408 193 127 10 27 22 28

* Apologies for not having enough personal insight myself on Mizoram, trying to raise my awareness

My summarize my Take on the Results taking total 590 Seats that went to Poll in the 4 States

  • BJP wins 408 Seats against my forecast of 365   (+10%) at 69% Strike Rate  – BIG WIN
  • Congress wins 127 against my forecast of 193  (-34%) at 21% Strike Rate – ESCAPE ROUT
  • AAP shows Freshness always has Takers and time will how they will fare with time (TDP, PRP, DMDK and others are past references)
  • Message BJP should take note of There is significant (over 10%) voter in Urban India who have made up their mind not to vote for Congress but have not made up their mind to vote for BJP and they seem to look for Simplicity at the Ground level more than high profile campaigns !
  • Impact for Telangana statehood are two no room for Congress to let any more gimmicks or delays at the same time its Billion dollar question if both Govt AP and Govt of India run by Congress have Oxygen left to last till the END…

As I wrote “December 2013 Month of Reckoning for Hyderabad, Telangana & India”

Jai Hind

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